Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.247235 0.279574 0.313972 0.353221 0.396703 0.443332 0.497056
2025-08-31 0.201879 0.245051 0.293789 0.352664 0.421626 0.499601 0.594187
2025-09-07 0.173649 0.224078 0.283981 0.359908 0.453054 0.563039 0.702124
2025-09-14 0.149100 0.203416 0.270973 0.360349 0.474555 0.614586 0.798122
2025-09-21 0.129918 0.186536 0.259969 0.360941 0.494730 0.664309 0.893629
2025-09-28 0.114555 0.172466 0.250535 0.361729 0.513968 0.712750 0.989119
2025-10-05 0.103410 0.162645 0.245372 0.367026 0.538561 0.768548 1.096237
2025-10-12 0.095367 0.156173 0.243896 0.376699 0.568995 0.833000 1.217456
2025-10-19 0.086840 0.147915 0.238843 0.380399 0.590628 0.885807 1.324582
2025-10-26 0.080385 0.142061 0.236616 0.387670 0.617282 0.946344 1.444682
2025-11-02 0.075706 0.138472 0.237352 0.399118 0.650302 1.017046 1.581894
2025-11-09 0.068646 0.130178 0.229909 0.397149 0.662593 1.057629 1.676610
2025-11-16 0.062291 0.122636 0.223355 0.396577 0.677723 1.104284 1.784330
2025-11-23 0.056528 0.115500 0.216815 0.395427 0.691679 1.149626 1.891965
2025-11-30 0.052899 0.111825 0.215758 0.403135 0.720044 1.218162 2.037670
2025-12-07 0.048457 0.106121 0.210640 0.403458 0.736135 1.267981 2.156197
2025-12-14 0.044514 0.100927 0.205933 0.404022 0.752418 1.318521 2.277582
2025-12-21 0.041005 0.096191 0.201615 0.404843 0.768957 1.369905 2.402026
2025-12-28 0.038467 0.093156 0.200180 0.410661 0.794245 1.436428 2.553215
2026-01-04 0.036717 0.091584 0.201380 0.421316 0.828419 1.518895 2.733333
2026-01-11 0.034361 0.088428 0.199195 0.425389 0.850920 1.582453 2.884255
2026-01-18 0.032610 0.086425 0.199119 0.433402 0.880816 1.659589 3.060439
2026-01-25 0.031437 0.085610 0.201374 0.446019 0.919666 1.753473 3.268015